Importance of Future Studies in Health: A Narrative Literature Review
,
Abstract
The future is something that people can design and shape with their purposeful actions, and it is the only opportunity we have to pursue our ideals, dreams, goals, strategies, and so on. The pulsating changes are the heart of the future, and our surrounding world is also a dynamic, uncontrollable world with extensive communications and full of uncertainty. The crises around us today are the result of not paying attention to them and not considering the speed of these changes. It should be noted that awareness of future changes requires future studies to reduce threats and increase opportunities that enable us to perform appropriately at future events. Considering the extensive history of changes in the healthcare system, it can be expected that we will see more changes in the future, which requires an understanding of future situations and alignment with future changes in healthcare.
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practice. Futures 2021;126:102689. doi:10.1016/j. futures.2020.102689
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37. Alemany R, Ayuso M, Guillén M. Impact of road traffic injuries on disability rates and long-term care costs in Spain. Accid Anal Prev 2013;60:95–102. doi:10.1016/j.aap.2013.08.016
38. Tonya C. Walser, Kostyantyn Krysan, Brian K. Gardner, Longsheng Hong, Michael C. Fishbein, Lee Goodglick, Aik
Ooi, Brigitte N. Gomperts, Jill E. Larsen, John D. Minna, Steven M. Dubinett; Abstract CN12-03: The inflammation-EMTcancer initiating cell axis in the pathogenesis of lung cancer: Breaking ground in the pursuit of targeted chemoprevention. Cancer Prev Res (Phila) 2010; 3 (12_Supplement): CN12–03. doi:10.1158/1940-6207.PREV-10-CN12-03
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41. Gómez-Restrepo C, Naranjo-Lujan S, Rondón M, Acosta A, Maldonado P, Arango Villegas C, et al. Latin American
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2. Sardar Z. The Namesake: Futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight—What’s in a name? Futures
2010;42(3):177–84. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.001
3. Tavallaei R. Futures Study of Iran’s Cyberspace Services Trends in the Technological Process of Globalization, Using
Delphi Method. Journal Strategic Studies of Public Policy 2015;5(17):93–123. [Persian]
4. Austin J, Bentkover J, Chait L. Leading strategic change in an era of healthcare transformation: Springer; 2016:47-71
5. Costanza R. Visions of alternative (unpredictable) futures and their use in policy analysis. Conservation ecology. 2000;4(1):5.
6. Gard M, Wright J. Managing Uncertainty: Obesity Discourses and Physical Education in a Risk Society.
Studies in Philosophy and Education 2001;20(6):535–49. doi:10.1023/A:1012238617836
7. Miola A. Backcasting approach for sustainable mobility. European Union: The Institute for Environment and
Sustainability, 2008 JRC JRC45824. doi:10.2788/77831
8. Pouragha B, Baghian N, Najafi M. Futures Study in Health: A Review Study. Evidence Based Health Policy, Management
and Economics 2019;2. doi:10.18502/jebhpme.v2i4.281
9. Loeppke R. The value of health and the power of prevention. International Journal of Workplace Health Management
2008;1(2):95–108. doi:10.1108/1753835081089389210. WHO. Global spending on health: rising to the pandemic’s challenges: World Health Organization; 2022. Access Date: 02/04/2024. Available from:[ Global spending on health:
rising to the pandemic’s challenges (who.int)].
11. Bagadeem S, U Ahmad M. Healthcare Expenditure and Economic Growth: How Important Is the Partnership?
Research in World Economy 2020;11:297. doi:10.5430/rwe. v11n5p297
12. Anderson S, Rayburn SW, Sierra JJ. Future thinking: the role of marketing in healthcare. European Journal of Marketing 2019;53(8):1521–1545. doi:10.1108/EJM-10-2017-0779
13. Haghdoost AA, Emami M, Esmaili M, Soberinia A, Nezhad Ghaderi M, Mehrolhassani MH. Survey the Status and Causes of Alcohol Consumption: A Case Study of the Epidemic Alcohol Poisoning in Rafsanjan in 2013. Rums_Journal
2015;13(10):991.
14. Miles I. The development of technology foresight: A review. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2010;77(9):1448–56. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.07.016
15. Greenhalgh T, Thorne S, Malterud K. Time to challenge the spurious hierarchy of systematic over narrative reviews? Eur J Clin Invest 2018;48(6):e12931. doi:10.1111/eci.12931
16. Demiris G, Oliver DP, Washington KT. Behavioral intervention research in hospice and palliative care: Building an evidence base: Academic press; 2018.
17. Cooper C, Dawson S, Varley-Campbell J, Cockcroft E, Peters J, Hendon J, Churchill R. Using search narratives to explain literature search strategies: a worked example. Abstracts of the 25th Cochrane Colloquium, Edinburgh, UK. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2018;(9 Suppl 1).
18. Baker JD. The Purpose, Process, and Methods of Writing a Literature Review. Aorn j 2016;103(3):265–9. doi:10.1016/j.
aorn.2016.01.016
19. Coates JF. The future of foresight—A US perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2010;77(9):1428–37. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.07.009
20. Azimi MH, Fadaie G. The Appropriate approach to foresight for information technology in Knowledge and Information Science. Journal of Studies in Library and Information Science
2017;8(2):1–18. doi:10.22055/slis.2017.11646
21. Pau SST, Hall A. New spaces for healthcare futures studies: Connecting existing theory to deeper participatory
practice. Futures 2021;126:102689. doi:10.1016/j. futures.2020.102689
22. Zahra Heydari F, Mohammad Reza M, Hamid P. Principle Concepts in Futures Studies: A Narrative Review. Health
Technology Assessment in Action 2024;8(4). doi:10.18502/ htaa.v8i4.16989
23. Voros J. A primer on futures studies, foresight and the use of scenarios. Prospect: The Foresight Bulletin 2001;6(1):1-8.
24. Mesko B, Kristóf T, Dhunnoo P, Árvai N, Katonai G. A Practical Guide to Using Futures Methods in Health Care:
Approaches, Applications, and Case Studies. J Med Internet Res. 2025;27:e82820. doi:10.2196/82820
25. Garrett MJ. Health futures: A handbook for health professionals. World Health Organization; 1999.
26. Rantsios AT. Zoonoses. Encyclopedia of Food and Health. 2016:645–53. doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-384947-2.00770-4
27. Kopelman P, Jebb SA, Butland B. Executive summary: Foresight ‘Tackling Obesities: Future Choices’ project. Obes Rev 2007;8 Suppl 1:vi–ix. doi:10.1111/j.1467-789X.2007.00344.x
28. Vella S, Mattioli B, Quaranta MG. FRESHER Scenarios Storylines and quantitative simulation results. 2017.
29. Lashkari E, Khalaj M. Reading of Developments in Comprehensive Urban Plans-Review of the Iranian Experience
(Limitations and problems from Master Plan to StrategicStructural Plan). Creative City Design 2019;2(2):15–23.
30. Jemala M. Evolution of foresight in the global historical context. Foresight 2010;12(4):65–81.
doi:10.1108/14636681011063004
31. Donev DM. Health insurance system in the Republic of Macedonia. Croat Med J 1999;40(2):175–80.
32. Moghadasi H, Hosseini A, Asadi F, Ismaili M. The problems of Iran health insurance system and the necessity of reform approach. Health Manag. 2011;14:71-9.
33. van de Ven WP, Schut FT. Universal mandatory health insurance in the Netherlands: a model for the United States?
Health Aff (Millwood) 2008;27(3):771–81. doi:10.1377/hlthaff.27.3.771
34. Heydari M, Seyedin H, Jafari M, Dehnavieh R. Stakeholder analysis of Iran’s health insurance system. J Educ Health
Promot 2018;7:135. doi:10.4103/jehp.jehp_69_18
35. Trapani D, Ginsburg O, Fadelu T, Lin NU, Hassett M, Ilbawi AM, et al. Global challenges and policy solutions in breast
cancer control. Cancer Treatment Reviews 2022;104. doi:10.1016/j.ctrv.2022.102339
36. Walt G, Shiffman J, Schneider H, Murray SF, Brugha R, Gilson L. ‘Doing’ health policy analysis: methodological and
conceptual reflections and challenges. Health Policy Plan 2008;23(5):308–17. doi:10.1093/heapol/czn024
37. Alemany R, Ayuso M, Guillén M. Impact of road traffic injuries on disability rates and long-term care costs in Spain. Accid Anal Prev 2013;60:95–102. doi:10.1016/j.aap.2013.08.016
38. Tonya C. Walser, Kostyantyn Krysan, Brian K. Gardner, Longsheng Hong, Michael C. Fishbein, Lee Goodglick, Aik
Ooi, Brigitte N. Gomperts, Jill E. Larsen, John D. Minna, Steven M. Dubinett; Abstract CN12-03: The inflammation-EMTcancer initiating cell axis in the pathogenesis of lung cancer: Breaking ground in the pursuit of targeted chemoprevention. Cancer Prev Res (Phila) 2010; 3 (12_Supplement): CN12–03. doi:10.1158/1940-6207.PREV-10-CN12-03
39. Ruikar M. National statistics of road traffic accidents in India. Journal of Orthopaedics, Traumatology and Rehabilitation 2013;6(1):1-6. doi:10.4103/0975-7341.118718
40. Mehrolhassani MH, Haghdoost A, Dehnavieh R, Pourhosseini SS. Comprehensive conceptual framework for futures studies in health. Med J Islam Repub Iran 2019;33:131. doi:10.34171/ mjiri.33.131
41. Gómez-Restrepo C, Naranjo-Lujan S, Rondón M, Acosta A, Maldonado P, Arango Villegas C, et al. Latin American
Clinical Epidemiology Network Series - Paper 6: The influence of alcohol in traffic accidents and health care costs
of it in Bogotá-Colombia. J Clin Epidemiol 2017;86:106–10. doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.10.003
42. Lapão LV. The Future Impact of Healthcare Services Digitalization on Health Workforce: The Increasing Role of Medical Informatics. Stud Health Technol Inform 2016;228:675–9.
43. Aghamohamadi S, Jahangiri K, Hajinabi K, Masoudi Asl I, Dehnavieh R. Foresight for inpatient beds in hospitals
of Iran: Vision 2035. Journal of Health Administration. 2018;21(71):23-36.
44. Schiavone F, Ferretti M. The FutureS of healthcare. Futures 2021;134:102849. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2021.102849
45. Walia N. Can 3D Virtual Worlds Address Healthcare Issues? Development, Delivery, Efficacy and Motivations
to Use. AMCIS 2009 Doctoral Consortium 2009;14. https://aisel.aisnet.org/amcis2009_dc/14
46. Downes MJ, Mervin MC, Byrnes JM, Scuffham PA. Telemedicine for general practice: a systematic review
protocol. Syst Rev 2015;4:134. doi:10.1186/s13643-015-0115-2
47. Tuckson RV, Edmunds M, Hodgkins ML. Telehealth. N Engl J Med 2017;377(16):1585–92. doi:10.1056/NEJMsr1503323
48. Flodgren G, Rachas A, Farmer AJ, Inzitari M, Shepperd S. Interactive telemedicine: effects on professional practice
and health care outcomes. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2015;2015(9):Cd002098. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD002098.pub2
49. Garavand A, Aslani N. Metaverse phenomenon and its impact on health: A scoping review. Informatics in Medicine Unlocked 2022;32:101029. doi:10.1016/j.imu.2022.101029
50. Polisena J, Tran K, Cimon K, Hutton B, McGill S, Palmer K, et al. Home telehealth for chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Telemed Telecare 2010;16(3):120–7. doi:10.1258/jtt.2009.090812
51. Abstracts. Psycho-Oncology 2016;25(S3):3–195. doi:10.1002/pon.4272
52. Jakob L, Steeb T, Fiocco Z, Pumnea T, Jakob SN, Wessely A,
et al. Patient Perception of Mobile Phone Apps for the Care and Prevention of Sexually Transmitted Diseases: CrossSectional Study. JMIR Mhealth Uhealth 2020;8(11):e16517. doi:10.2196/16517
53. Brall C, Schröder-Bäck P, Maeckelberghe E. Ethical aspects of digital health from a justice point of view. Eur J Public Health 2019;29(Supplement_3):18–22. doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckz167
54. Lupton D. M-health and health promotion: The digital cyborg and surveillance society. Social Theory & Health
2012;10(3):229–44. doi:10.1057/sth.2012.6
55. Sediqi MS, Borumand Kakhki A, Asghari S, Tofighi S. A review on methods and applications of foresight
in health policy: international practices and national considerations. Rahyaft. 2021;31(81):109-33. doi:10.22034/
RAHYAFT.2021.10513.1162
56. Kim J. Advertising in the Metaverse: Research Agenda. Journal of Interactive Advertising 2021;21(3):141–4. doi:10.1080/152 52019.2021.2001273
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How to Cite
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Heydarifard Z, Maleki M, Pourasghari H. Importance of Future Studies in Health: A Narrative Literature Review. Health Tech Ass Act. 2026;10(2).
